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Tirzepatide is the active ingredient in both Eli Lilly's diabetes treatment Mounjaro and its anti-obesity drug Zepbound. Based on that calculation, earnings will be lower by about 13 cents per share, he said, in research published last Tuesday. "Strong demand for Mounjaro & Zepbound can easily pull through in 2H24 and make up for any 1H24 shortfalls." For the week ended April 19, combined prescriptions of Mounjaro and Zepbound rose 63% year over year, according to IQVIA. Wells Fargo Mohit Bansal said he expects investors to look past any Trulicity shortfalls as the focus is firmily on Zepbound and Mounjaro for Lilly's future growth.
Persons: Eli Lilly, Eli, James Shin, Lilly, Shin, David Risinger, Zepbound, Wells, Bansal, Jo Walton, Walton, Lilly's, Tirzepatide, Deutsche Bank's Shin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Drug Administration, Deutsche Bank, IMS, UBS, Research, Deutsche, FDA Locations: 2H24, U.S
From deeps rate cuts to a potential rate hike in 2024, one firm has changed its forecast in a big way. Macquarie said the resilient economy means potential interest rate cuts won't happen until 2025. Assuming the central bank moves the federal funds rate down by 25 basis point increments, that would equate to nine interest rate cuts just this year. AdvertisementThat lack of economic weakness has led to a stark shift in interest rate forecasts, with even the Federal Reserve suggesting that its initial projections of three interest rate cuts this year could dwindle to one rate cut or even none. That could be a double whammy for a stock market that had been largely fixated on interest rate cuts this year.
Persons: Macquarie, , David Doyle, Neil Shankar, Jerome Powell Organizations: Service, Macquarie, Federal Reserve, Fed, UBS
It's the busiest week of the earnings season, and it could have major consequences for the stock market. This quarter: The fast-food giant is expected to report single-digit earnings and revenue growth from the year-earlier period, LSEG shows. Amazon is set to report earnings after the close. What history shows: Pfizer earnings beat earnings expectations 87% of the time, per Bespoke. Thursday Apple is set to report earnings after the bell.
Persons: Jeffrey Bernstein, Bernstein, JPMorgan's Andrea Teixeira, Teixeira, AMZN, Joseph Feldman, Feldman, AAPL, , Apple Organizations: Apple, Pfizer, IBM, CNBC, Barclays, Investment, Management, AWS, Amazon, pharma, Food and Drug Administration, UBS Locations: China
Some of Wall Street's favorite stocks are due to report their latest earnings in the week ahead. As of Friday, 77% of companies that have reported topped analyst estimates for their quarterly earnings, according to FactSet. To find stocks reporting next week that might see a post-earnings rise in valuation, CNBC Pro screened for names that Wall Street analysts recommend and that have earnings momentum at their back. Mastercard has seen earnings estimates rise by 12% in the past three months, and 20% over the past six months. Analysts have raised the Silicon Valley real estate investment trust's earnings estimates by 29% over the past three and six months.
Persons: Wall, FactSet, Ronald Josey, Josey, GenAI, TD Cowen, Bryan Bergin, Equinix, , Fred Imbert Organizations: Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, Wall, Companies, Amazon Web Services, UBS, Citi, Mastercard
The Fed aims to keep inflation at 2% over the longer run. Meanwhile, among the 20 countries that use the euro, annual consumer price inflation has slowed steadily since the start of the year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said earlier this month that she would favor a rate hike “should progress on inflation stall or even reverse.”So why does the United States appear to have a bigger inflation problem than Europe? Some economists argue there isn’t actually much daylight between the US and European rates of inflation, pointing to a quirk in the US measures. The measure is designed to track inflation in the real estate market while accounting for the fact that most Americans own their homes.
Persons: Michelle Bowman, Paul Donovan, Simon MacAdam, , MacAdam, ” Carsten Brzeski, Janet Yellen, Jim Watson, Brzeski, , ” Davide Oneglia Organizations: London CNN, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, PCE, UBS Global Wealth Management, Capital Economics, ING, CNN, Monetary Fund, Washington, Reuters, Getty, , ECB, Lombard Locations: United States, Europe, Centreville , Maryland, AFP, Russia, Ukraine
Analysts from major firms, ranging from UBS to Bank of America, were encouraged by accelerated growth in Google Search, Cloud and YouTube seen in the previous quarter. GOOGL YTD mountain Google stock this year. Sandler kept his overweight rating and increased his price target by $27 to $200, which implies 28% potential upside from Thursday's close. Jefferies's Brent Thill maintained his buy rating and upped his price target by $20 to $200, saying shares are trading at an attractive valuation. His target price suggests only about 11% potential upside from Thursday's close.
Persons: Doug Anmuth, Anmuth, Ross Sandler's, Sandler, Jefferies's Brent Thill, Oppenheimer, Jason Helfstein, Justin, Ken Gawrelski, Gawrelski Organizations: Google, UBS, Bank of America, YouTube, JPMorgan, Barclays, , buybacks, & &
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTwo rate cuts appears likely as consumer spending begins to slow, says UBS' Julie FoxJulie Fox, UBS, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the trading day and her sector picks.
Persons: Julie Fox Julie Fox Organizations: UBS
Evercore ISI reiterates Nvidia as outperform Evercore ISI said investors should use any weakness in the stock to buy the dip. HSBC upgrades UPS to buy from hold HSBC said UPS is "getting back to earnings growth" following the company's earnings report. Bank of America downgrades Deckers to neutral from buy Bank of America said it sees a better risk/reward elsewhere in the firm's coverage. Bank of America reiterates IBM as buy Bank of America said it is sticking with its buy rating following earnings on Wednesday. Deutsche Bank reiterates Tesla as hold Deutsche Bank raised its price target on the stock to $136 per share from $123.
Persons: Sherwin, Williams, Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Ford, Needham, D.A, Davidson, ServiceNow, Tesla Organizations: Motors, GM, Nvidia, ISI, AMD, JPMorgan, Monster Beverage, Beverage, AMC, HSBC, UPS, USPS, Companies, UBS, UDR, Amazon, AWS, Bank of America, Meta, Laboratories, Manhattan Associates, IBM, Deutsche Bank Locations: 2Q24, Dearborn, Manhattan
Americans are falling behind on their payments
  + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Americans are already struggling to keep up with their credit card payments. Strong consumer spending has buoyed the US economy through the Fed’s aggressive hiking cycle that has brought interest rates to a 23-year high. Economists say that Fed officials look closely at Americans’ ability to make their payments. Nunes, himself a former Republican congressman from California, pointed to how Trump Media has been among the most expensive stocks to borrow. “This is particularly troubling given that ‘naked’ short selling often entails sophisticated market participants profiting at the expense of retail investors,” the Trump Media CEO wrote.
Persons: New York CNN —, Austan Goolsbee, ’ ”, , Ramon Laguarta, Matt Egan, Devin Nunes, ” Nunes, Nunes, Read, Hanna Ziady, Colm Kelleher, Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Chicago Federal, Society for, New York Fed, ISI, PepsiCo, Commerce Department, Atlanta Fed, Social, Trump Media, Trump Media & Technology Group, Truth Social, Financial Services, Republican, Traders, UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: New York, California, Switzerland, Swiss
Now, the giant Swiss lender is hitting back, saying its finances are robust and warning that the proposal could harm Switzerland’s standing as a global financial center. “There can be no regulatory solution for a broken business model,” he continued, referring to Credit Suisse. UBS bought its stricken rival last March in a government-orchestrated rescue aimed at preventing a global financial crisis. It was not too-low capital requirements that forced Credit Suisse into the historic weekend rescue,” he added. But that leaves the stock more vulnerable to declines as a result of “execution risk in the Credit Suisse integration,” suggested Citi analyst Andrew Coombs.
Persons: London CNN —, Colm Kelleher, , , Kelleher, Pascal Mora, Karin Keller, Keller Sutter, Anke, Andrew Coombs, ” Kelleher, Sergio Ermotti’s, Ermotti Organizations: London CNN, Credit Suisse, UBS, Bloomberg, Getty, RBC Capital Markets, Citi, Reuters Locations: Swiss, Switzerland, Europe
Elon Musk speaks onstage during The New York Times Dealbook Summit 2023 at Jazz at Lincoln Center in New York City, Nov. 29, 2023. Tesla shares surged 15% on Wednesday morning after CEO Elon Musk said the electric-vehicle company plans to begin production of new affordable EV models by early 2025. Musk's comments came during Tesla's earnings call on Tuesday after the company reported disappointing first-quarter numbers. The company previously expected to start production of the new EV models in the second half of 2025. UBS analysts on Tuesday reiterated their neutral rating of Tesla stock and lowered their price target to $147 from $160, saying they remain skeptical of the company's talk.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Musk's, Tesla's, Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Times, Jazz, Lincoln Center, Revenue, Bank of America, UBS Locations: New York City
UBS chair says Swiss banking giant is not 'too big to fail'
  + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
UBS Group Chairman Colm Kelleher on Wednesday said that the Swiss bank is "not too big to fail," as he criticized Swiss government proposals to strengthen its capital requirements. Kelleher was delivering a speech during the UBS Annual General Meeting — the first such gathering held since the bank completed the takeover of its former rival Credit Suisse last summer. "UBS is not too big to fail. UBS is one of the best capitalized banks in Europe, with a sustainable business model and a corresponding low-risk balance sheet," Kelleher said. This is a breaking news story and will be updated shortly.
Persons: Colm Kelleher, Kelleher Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse Locations: Swiss, Europe
What if no one wants a cheap Tesla?
  + stars: | 2024-04-24 | by ( Matt Turner | Hayley Peterson | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Even at a lower price, say $25,000, it's a very significant purchase — likely one of the most expensive purchases a person will make. AdvertisementSo let's for a second look at why a lower ticket price might not be a panacea for Tesla. There are many other Tesla buyers, of course, but as Tesla introduces lower-cost models in search of different buyers, needs will shift. Musk and Tesla are politicizedAs Tesla looks to lure potential new buyers with a cheaper car, it will have to contend with souring consumer sentiment toward the EV maker. Maybe the pool of buyers for a cheap Tesla will be ginormous.
Persons: , Tesla, Elon Musk, TSLA, EVs, It's, BYD, Musk, it's Organizations: Service, Business, Tesla, EV, UBS, Infrastructure, Honda Civic, Toyota, Reuters, Bloomberg, Association, Renault, Elon Locations: California, headwinds, China, India
He also hiked his price target to $92 from $59, suggesting shares rallying 48.3% from where they closed on Tuesday. Analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich raised her price target to $370 from $315, suggesting 22% upside from Tuesday's close. — Hakyung Kim 6:04 a.m.: Citi raises price target on Amazon Amazon is becoming a more profitable organization, according to Citi. The price target increase comes on the heels of Amazon's new grocery delivery subscription launch. He cited increased operating income projections amid strong top-line trends for his price target increase.
Persons: Tesla, Rob Sanderson, Sanderson, Forrest Li, Hakyung Kim, Jessica Reif Ehrlich, — Hakyung Kim, Ronald Josey, Josey, GenAI, Kim, Goldman Sachs, Mark Delaney, Delaney, Goldman, Joseph Spak, Spak, TSLA, Wells Fargo's Colin Langan, Langan, James Lee, Lee, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Mizuho, Bank of America, Spotify Bank of America, Spotify, Citi, Amazon Web Services, Revenue, UBS, Summer
DETROIT — Ford Motor is announcing first-quarter earnings after the markets close Wednesday. The automaker's 2024 guidance released in February included adjusted earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT, of between $10 billion and $12 billion; adjusted free cash flow of $6 billion to $7 billion; and capital spending of $8 billion to $9.5 billion. There is less consensus on Wall Street around Ford's performance than there was for its crosstown rival General Motors , which on Tuesday reported strong first-quarter results and raised its full-year guidance. Ford is Morgan Stanley's "top pick," but others on Wall Street are less bullish on the company. Ford has faced years of inflated warranty costs, including $1.9 billion in 2023, which have affected its earnings.
Persons: Ford's, Ford, Morgan Stanley's, Joseph Spak, Jim Farley's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York, DETROIT, Motors, UBS
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRetailers that can capitalize on omnichannel will be winners, says UBS' Michael LasserMichael Lasser, UBS retail analyst, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss which retailers are at risk for closure and which are shifting their models to thrive.
Persons: Michael Lasser Michael Lasser Organizations: UBS
UBS doesn't see the Federal Reserve embarking on rate cuts until September — and that means now is the time to snap up tax-free municipal bonds. Bond yields and prices move inversely, so a decline in rates will come with price appreciation for the underlying issues. "Against that backdrop, we believe that yields on quality municipal bonds look attractive at current levels," wrote UBS Wealth Management senior municipal bond strategist Kathleen McNamara in a report last week. The kicker of tax-free income Muni bonds are generally backed by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which makes them less of a default risk compared with corporates. Large diversified municipal bond funds can be cheap, but state-focused funds tend to be a little more costly.
Persons: Kathleen McNamara, McNamara, FKTFX Organizations: UBS, Federal, UBS Wealth Management, Bond, SEC, Vanguard California, Franklin, Franklin California Tax, Income Fund, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard New Locations: There's, New York , California, New Jersey, California, Franklin California
Higher life expectancy rates mean that some Gen Zers might be retired for 50 years, says UBS. A portfolio needs to beat inflation by 2 percentage points to retire well, the bank said. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementGen Zers could spend up to 50 years in retirement — so they should start investing as soon as possible, according to UBS. Typical investing wisdom posits that a retired person's portfolio should aim to keep pace with inflation.
Persons: Zers, , Lee Wen Ching, Wen Ching, Andrew J, Scott, We've, we'd Organizations: UBS, Service, Michelin Locations: Swiss
The House legislation would require TikTok's China-based parent company ByteDance to divest the social media app, or face an eventual ban in the United States. Glueck said Oracle did not lobby for or against the TikTok bill, and only disclosed the meetings on mandatory filings in order to be transparent. "In a TikTok ban or shut-down scenario, Oracle would lose what is likely its largest OCI [Oracle Cloud Infrastructure] customer. Though the initial House bill briefly stalled in the Senate, a similar piece of legislation passed the House on Saturday and already has key support in the Senate. The services included providing congressional offices "technical assistance" in regards to the TikTok legislation, according to the disclosures.
Persons: Ken Glueck, Oracle, Glueck, Sen, Maria Cantwell, Mark Warner, Both Cantwell, Warner, Joe Biden, TikTok Organizations: Oracle, CNBC, Fierce Government Relations, Polaris Government Relations, Senate, Intelligence Committee, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, UBS, TikTok, Intelligence, Records, Polaris, Internal Revenue Service Locations: Washington, United States, China
UBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'
  + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS names top luxury stocks as market shifts toward 'quality'Gerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, names his top luxury picks, as the market shifts in favor of '"quality" stocks.
Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS
"We're going to carry this fight on to Mercedes and everywhere else," Fain told VW workers Friday night following the historic vote. Impact on labor costsTop of the list of likely impacts from organizing efforts at VW is labor costs. But for the Big Three Detroit automakers — and their shareholders — the VW organizing drive could be a positive. GM, Ford and Stellantis have higher all-in labor costs than non-organized automakers such as VW. Fain on Friday said "the real fight begins now," referring to the expected negotiations between the union and VW.
Persons: Elijah Nouvelage, Alex Hertel, Fernandez, It's, Shawn Fain, Kelcey Smith, Kevin Wurm, Fain, Let's, Joe Biden, Evelyn Hockstein, there's, Organizations: Volkswagen, Getty, DETROIT, United Auto Workers, UAW, Detroit union's, U.S . Department of Labor, Columbia University, Union, National Labor Relations Board, NLRB, VW, General Motors, Ford Motor, Chrysler, Detroit automakers, BMW, Honda, Hyundai, Mazda, Benz, Nissan, Subaru, Toyota, Volvo, Washington Post, Workers, Mercedes, UBS, Big Three Detroit automakers —, GM, Ford, Chamber, U.S, Capitol, Reuters Locations: Chattanooga , Tennessee, U.S, Vance , Alabama, Chattanooga, Washington , U.S, Detroit
Thirteen months ago, Andy Sieg unexpectedly left Merrill Wealth Management to run Citi's ailing wealth unit. His replacements, Lindsay Hans and Eric Schimpf, had big shoes to fill. Hans and Schimpf were company veterans but lesser known before they were anointed to lead the $3 trillion wealth business attached to behemoth Bank of America. Schimpf is more soft-spoken than his cohead Hans, who was promoted to run the private wealth business one month before Sieg left. AdvertisementMerrill has the benefit of being part of a bank with some 69 million consumer bank clients.
Persons: Andy Sieg, Lindsay Hans, Eric Schimpf, Merrill, Hans, Schimpf, Sieg, Lindsay, it's, Sieg's, Louis Diamond, Schimpf's, Hans said, AdvisorHub Organizations: Service, Merrill Wealth Management, behemoth Bank of America, Business, Merrill, Army, UBS, Schimpf, Northeast, Merrill . Bank of America, Bank of America, Customers, Bank of, First, JPMorgan Locations: Los Angeles, Coast, New York City, Nevada, First Republic, Merrill
Tesla shares fell for a seventh straight day, reaching their lowest since January 2023, as further price cuts over the weekend added to mounting concerns heading into the company's first-quarter earnings report Tuesday. Tesla also lowered the price of its premium driver assistance system by one-third. The price cut follows a monthlong free trial that Tesla pushed out to customers throughout North America starting in late March. "Since late 2023, sentiment on Tesla (TSLA) has deteriorated," John Murphy, an analyst at Bank of America, wrote in a note on Monday. WATCH: Tesla stock hits 52-week low ahead of earnings
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, John Murphy, Murphy, Joseph Spak, Spak, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: New York Times, Jazz, Lincoln Center, North America, National, Traffic Safety Administration, CNBC, Bank of America, Reuters, UBS, EV, Traders, S3 Partners, Apple Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Europe
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Analysts slashed the "Big Six" tech stocks' ratings to neutral from overweight, arguing that profit growth momentum could "collapse" over the next few quarters. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, what's, it's, We're, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, UBS Global Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmall-caps set to gain as interest rate cuts come through, UBS saysGerry Fowler, UBS's head of European equity strategy, says small-cap stock performance looks set to improve as central bank interest rate cuts play out.
Persons: Gerry Fowler, UBS's Organizations: UBS
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